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File No.
GR-DOSSIER-51093
Active File
Confidence: Public
Resilience Dossier

Isle of Wight CountyVirginia · VA

48
/ 100fair
Composite scale0 ─ 100
48
CriticalExcellent
State rank
#88VA
National rank
#2,392/ 3,436
Population
38,58647.2/km²
FIPS 51093│AREA 818 km²│LAT 36.9014 · LON -76.7076
§01

Geospatial

36.90°N, 76.71°W
Map of Isle of Wight County, VA
Target ▸ Isle of Wight County
N│Mapbox dark-v11
§02

Analyst Brief

Voice ▸ Stratfor

▌Isle of Wight County is a county in Virginia, with a population of 38,586, covering 818 square kilometers. Population density is 47.2 people per square kilometer. On the Scout composite resilience index, Isle of Wight County scores 48 out of 100, ranked #88 in VA and #2,392 of 3,436 regions. The five-year average temperature anomaly versus the 20th-century baseline is 2.4 degrees Fahrenheit. Counties above 2.6 degrees fall inside the climate tipping-point band. The FEMA National Risk Index composite hazard score is 71 out of 100. Annual precipitation averages 49.4 inches. Net IRS migration in the most recent tax year was +9.8 per 1,000 residents. USDA classifies the county as Rural-Urban Continuum Code 1 (1 = metropolitan core, 9 = completely rural).

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Assessment Matrix

6 Dimensions
D-0130

Climate Stability

Natural hazard exposure, temperature anomaly vs. 20th-century baseline, drought, wildfire, and flood risk.

D-0263

Water & Food

Groundwater reliability, precipitation normals, growing season length, and cropland availability.

D-0373

Social Stability

Net migration, social vulnerability, and crime rates.

D-0435

Infrastructure

Solar energy potential, off-grid power viability, and proximity to nuclear facilities.

D-0536

Self-Sufficiency

Rural-urban classification, agricultural diversity, and land availability.

D-0648

Affordability

Median home value and rental costs relative to the national range. Lower cost counties score higher.

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Source Telemetry

14 Inputs
S-01Climate
FEMA NRI hazard score
71.46 /100
Temperature anomaly
2.40 °F
S-02Water
Annual precipitation
49.4 in
Soil saturation depth
0.9 ft
Growing season
237 days
S-03Social
Net migration
+9.8 /1k
Social vulnerability
0.224 /1
Crime index
7.7 /100
S-04Infrastructure
Solar irradiance
4.3 kWh/m²/d
Distance to nuclear facility
18.6 mi
S-05Self-Sufficiency
Cropland share
27.9 %
Rural-urban code
1 /9
S-06Affordability
Median home value
$327,600
Median rent
$1,223 /mo

Inputs marked “— —” are pending pipeline integration and currently use neutral defaults in the composite. They do not skew rankings.

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Cross-Reference

REF-A

Isle of Wight County on the Scout map

See this county in spatial context. Compare with neighbors. Tune the composite weights to your priorities.

REF-B

Top counties in Virginia

State rollup ranking the highest- and lowest-scoring counties for resilience by composite Scout score.

§06

Citations

Full methodology ▸
  • FEMA-NRIFEMA National Risk Index, county composite hazard score
  • NOAA-TMPNOAA nClimDiv county temperature anomaly, 2020-2024 vs. 1901-2000 baseline
  • NOAA-PCPNOAA county precipitation normals, 1991-2020
  • IRS-MIGIRS county-to-county migration, tax year 2021-2022
  • CDC-SVICDC Social Vulnerability Index, 2022 release (RPL_THEMES)
  • USDA-RUCCUSDA Economic Research Service Rural-Urban Continuum Codes, 2023
  • NASA-PWRNASA POWER climatology, annual global horizontal irradiance (kWh/m²/day)
  • USDA-NASSUSDA NASS Census of Agriculture 2022, county cropland and total land area
  • USDA-SDMUSDA NRCS Soil Data Mart, average seasonal soil saturation depth (cm)
  • ACS-2022U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Estimates 2022, median home value and gross rent