File No.

GR-DOSSIER-48289

Active File

Confidence: Public

Resilience Dossier

Leon CountyTexas · TX

/ 100good

Composite scale0 ─ 100

CriticalExcellent

State rank

#42TX

National rank

#841/ 3,436

Population

15,6665.6/km²

FIPS 48289│AREA 2,779 km²│LAT 31.3005 · LON -95.9956

§01

Geospatial

31.30°N, 96.00°W

Target ▸ Leon County

N│Mapbox dark-v11

§02

Analyst Brief

Voice ▸ Stratfor

▌Leon County is a county in Texas, with a population of 15,666, covering 2,779 square kilometers. Population density is 5.6 people per square kilometer. On the Scout composite resilience index, Leon County scores 59 out of 100, ranked #42 in TX and #841 of 3,436 regions. The five-year average temperature anomaly versus the 20th-century baseline is 1.4 degrees Fahrenheit. Counties above 2.6 degrees fall inside the climate tipping-point band. The FEMA National Risk Index composite hazard score is 35 out of 100. Annual precipitation averages 43.3 inches. Net IRS migration in the most recent tax year was +9.8 per 1,000 residents. USDA classifies the county as Rural-Urban Continuum Code 8 (1 = metropolitan core, 9 = completely rural).

§03

Assessment Matrix

6 Dimensions

D-0159

Climate Stability

Natural hazard exposure, temperature anomaly vs. 20th-century baseline, drought, wildfire, and flood risk.

D-0253

Water & Food

Groundwater reliability, precipitation normals, growing season length, and cropland availability.

D-0358

Social Stability

Net migration, social vulnerability, and crime rates.

D-0472

Infrastructure

Solar energy potential, off-grid power viability, and proximity to nuclear facilities.

D-0545

Self-Sufficiency

Rural-urban classification, agricultural diversity, and land availability.

D-0676

Affordability

Median home value and rental costs relative to the national range. Lower cost counties score higher.

§04

Source Telemetry

14 Inputs

S-01Climate

FEMA NRI hazard score

34.65 /100

Temperature anomaly

1.41 °F

S-02Water

Annual precipitation

43.3 in

Soil saturation depth

2.0 ft

Growing season

300 days

S-03Social

Net migration

+9.8 /1k

Social vulnerability

0.697 /1

Crime index

7.4 /100

S-04Infrastructure

Solar irradiance

4.7 kWh/m²/d

Distance to nuclear facility

126 mi

S-05Self-Sufficiency

Cropland share

8.7 %

Rural-urban code

8 /9

S-06Affordability

Median home value

$158,700

Median rent

$900 /mo

Inputs marked “— —” are pending pipeline integration and currently use neutral defaults in the composite. They do not skew rankings.

§05

Cross-Reference

REF-A

Leon County on the Scout map

See this county in spatial context. Compare with neighbors. Tune the composite weights to your priorities.

REF-B

Top counties in Texas

State rollup ranking the highest- and lowest-scoring counties for resilience by composite Scout score.

§06

Citations

Full methodology ▸

FEMA-NRIFEMA National Risk Index, county composite hazard score
NOAA-TMPNOAA nClimDiv county temperature anomaly, 2020-2024 vs. 1901-2000 baseline
NOAA-PCPNOAA county precipitation normals, 1991-2020
IRS-MIGIRS county-to-county migration, tax year 2021-2022
CDC-SVICDC Social Vulnerability Index, 2022 release (RPL_THEMES)
USDA-RUCCUSDA Economic Research Service Rural-Urban Continuum Codes, 2023
NASA-PWRNASA POWER climatology, annual global horizontal irradiance (kWh/m²/day)
USDA-NASSUSDA NASS Census of Agriculture 2022, county cropland and total land area
USDA-SDMUSDA NRCS Soil Data Mart, average seasonal soil saturation depth (cm)
ACS-2022U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Estimates 2022, median home value and gross rent