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File No.
GR-DOSSIER-36009
Active File
Confidence: Public
Resilience Dossier

Cattaraugus CountyNew York · NY

48
/ 100fair
Composite scale0 ─ 100
48
CriticalExcellent
State rank
#34NY
National rank
#2,444/ 3,436
Population
76,99322.7/km²
FIPS 36009│AREA 3,388 km²│LAT 42.2391 · LON -78.6623
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Geospatial

42.24°N, 78.66°W
Map of Cattaraugus County, NY
Target ▸ Cattaraugus County
N│Mapbox dark-v11
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Analyst Brief

Voice ▸ Stratfor

▌Cattaraugus County is a county in New York, with a population of 76,993, covering 3,388 square kilometers. Population density is 22.7 people per square kilometer. On the Scout composite resilience index, Cattaraugus County scores 48 out of 100, ranked #34 in NY and #2,444 of 3,436 regions. The five-year average temperature anomaly versus the 20th-century baseline is 3.3 degrees Fahrenheit. Counties above 2.6 degrees fall inside the climate tipping-point band. The FEMA National Risk Index composite hazard score is 64 out of 100. Annual precipitation averages 45.3 inches. Net IRS migration in the most recent tax year was -0.3 per 1,000 residents. USDA classifies the county as Rural-Urban Continuum Code 4 (1 = metropolitan core, 9 = completely rural).

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Assessment Matrix

6 Dimensions
D-0125

Climate Stability

Natural hazard exposure, temperature anomaly vs. 20th-century baseline, drought, wildfire, and flood risk.

D-0241

Water & Food

Groundwater reliability, precipitation normals, growing season length, and cropland availability.

D-0351

Social Stability

Net migration, social vulnerability, and crime rates.

D-0457

Infrastructure

Solar energy potential, off-grid power viability, and proximity to nuclear facilities.

D-0558

Self-Sufficiency

Rural-urban classification, agricultural diversity, and land availability.

D-0687

Affordability

Median home value and rental costs relative to the national range. Lower cost counties score higher.

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Source Telemetry

14 Inputs
S-01Climate
FEMA NRI hazard score
63.7 /100
Temperature anomaly
3.29 °F
S-02Water
Annual precipitation
45.3 in
Soil saturation depth
1.2 ft
Growing season
148 days
S-03Social
Net migration
-0.3 /1k
Social vulnerability
0.681 /1
Crime index
13.1 /100
S-04Infrastructure
Solar irradiance
3.6 kWh/m²/d
Distance to nuclear facility
99.4 mi
S-05Self-Sufficiency
Cropland share
10.1 %
Rural-urban code
4 /9
S-06Affordability
Median home value
$105,100
Median rent
$745 /mo

Inputs marked “— —” are pending pipeline integration and currently use neutral defaults in the composite. They do not skew rankings.

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Cross-Reference

REF-A

Cattaraugus County on the Scout map

See this county in spatial context. Compare with neighbors. Tune the composite weights to your priorities.

REF-B

Top counties in New York

State rollup ranking the highest- and lowest-scoring counties for resilience by composite Scout score.

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Citations

Full methodology ▸
  • FEMA-NRIFEMA National Risk Index, county composite hazard score
  • NOAA-TMPNOAA nClimDiv county temperature anomaly, 2020-2024 vs. 1901-2000 baseline
  • NOAA-PCPNOAA county precipitation normals, 1991-2020
  • IRS-MIGIRS county-to-county migration, tax year 2021-2022
  • CDC-SVICDC Social Vulnerability Index, 2022 release (RPL_THEMES)
  • USDA-RUCCUSDA Economic Research Service Rural-Urban Continuum Codes, 2023
  • NASA-PWRNASA POWER climatology, annual global horizontal irradiance (kWh/m²/day)
  • USDA-NASSUSDA NASS Census of Agriculture 2022, county cropland and total land area
  • USDA-SDMUSDA NRCS Soil Data Mart, average seasonal soil saturation depth (cm)
  • ACS-2022U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Estimates 2022, median home value and gross rent