File No.
GR-DOSSIER-31109
Active File
Confidence: Public
Resilience Dossier

Lancaster CountyNebraska · NE

55
/ 100good
Composite scale0 ─ 100
55
CriticalExcellent
State rank
#84NE
National rank
#1,422/ 3,436
Population
322,200148.5/km²
FIPS 31109AREA 2,169 km²LAT 40.7835 · LON -96.6887
§01

Geospatial

40.78°N, 96.69°W
Map of Lancaster County, NE
Target ▸ Lancaster County
NMapbox dark-v11
§02

Analyst Brief

Voice ▸ Stratfor

Lancaster County is a county in Nebraska, with a population of 322,200, covering 2,169 square kilometers. Population density is 148.5 people per square kilometer. On the Scout composite resilience index, Lancaster County scores 55 out of 100, ranked #84 in NE and #1,422 of 3,436 regions. The five-year average temperature anomaly versus the 20th-century baseline is 2.5 degrees Fahrenheit. Counties above 2.6 degrees fall inside the climate tipping-point band. The FEMA National Risk Index composite hazard score is 93 out of 100. Annual precipitation averages 31.4 inches. Net IRS migration in the most recent tax year was -1.6 per 1,000 residents. USDA classifies the county as Rural-Urban Continuum Code 2 (1 = metropolitan core, 9 = completely rural).

§03

Assessment Matrix

6 Dimensions
D-0119

Climate Stability

Natural hazard exposure, temperature anomaly vs. 20th-century baseline, drought, wildfire, and flood risk.

D-0261

Water & Food

Groundwater reliability, precipitation normals, growing season length, and cropland availability.

D-0362

Social Stability

Net migration, social vulnerability, and crime rates.

D-0466

Infrastructure

Solar energy potential, off-grid power viability, and proximity to nuclear facilities.

D-0575

Self-Sufficiency

Rural-urban classification, agricultural diversity, and land availability.

D-0665

Affordability

Median home value and rental costs relative to the national range. Lower cost counties score higher.

§04

Source Telemetry

14 Inputs
S-01Climate
FEMA NRI hazard score
92.81 /100
Temperature anomaly
2.46 °F
S-02Water
Annual precipitation
31.4 in
Soil saturation depth
1.2 ft
Growing season
182 days
S-03Social
Net migration
-1.6 /1k
Social vulnerability
0.403 /1
Crime index
3.9 /100
S-04Infrastructure
Solar irradiance
4.3 kWh/m²/d
Distance to nuclear facility
62.3 mi
S-05Self-Sufficiency
Cropland share
65.7 %
Rural-urban code
2 /9
S-06Affordability
Median home value
$239,900
Median rent
$997 /mo

Inputs marked “— —” are pending pipeline integration and currently use neutral defaults in the composite. They do not skew rankings.

§05

Cross-Reference

  • FEMA-NRIFEMA National Risk Index, county composite hazard score
  • NOAA-TMPNOAA nClimDiv county temperature anomaly, 2020-2024 vs. 1901-2000 baseline
  • NOAA-PCPNOAA county precipitation normals, 1991-2020
  • IRS-MIGIRS county-to-county migration, tax year 2021-2022
  • CDC-SVICDC Social Vulnerability Index, 2022 release (RPL_THEMES)
  • USDA-RUCCUSDA Economic Research Service Rural-Urban Continuum Codes, 2023
  • NASA-PWRNASA POWER climatology, annual global horizontal irradiance (kWh/m²/day)
  • USDA-NASSUSDA NASS Census of Agriculture 2022, county cropland and total land area
  • USDA-SDMUSDA NRCS Soil Data Mart, average seasonal soil saturation depth (cm)
  • ACS-2022U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Estimates 2022, median home value and gross rent