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File No.
GR-DOSSIER-21043
Active File
Confidence: Public
Resilience Dossier

Carter CountyKentucky · KY

50
/ 100fair
Composite scale0 ─ 100
50
CriticalExcellent
State rank
#111KY
National rank
#2,179/ 3,436
Population
26,60225.1/km²
FIPS 21043│AREA 1,061 km²│LAT 38.3141 · LON -83.0390
§01

Geospatial

38.31°N, 83.04°W
Map of Carter County, KY
Target ▸ Carter County
N│Mapbox dark-v11
§02

Analyst Brief

Voice ▸ Stratfor

▌Carter County is a county in Kentucky, with a population of 26,602, covering 1,061 square kilometers. Population density is 25.1 people per square kilometer. On the Scout composite resilience index, Carter County scores 50 out of 100, ranked #111 in KY and #2,179 of 3,436 regions. The five-year average temperature anomaly versus the 20th-century baseline is 2.2 degrees Fahrenheit. Counties above 2.6 degrees fall inside the climate tipping-point band. The FEMA National Risk Index composite hazard score is 50 out of 100. Annual precipitation averages 45.6 inches. Net IRS migration in the most recent tax year was +0.9 per 1,000 residents. USDA classifies the county as Rural-Urban Continuum Code 2 (1 = metropolitan core, 9 = completely rural).

§03

Assessment Matrix

6 Dimensions
D-0143

Climate Stability

Natural hazard exposure, temperature anomaly vs. 20th-century baseline, drought, wildfire, and flood risk.

D-0239

Water & Food

Groundwater reliability, precipitation normals, growing season length, and cropland availability.

D-0359

Social Stability

Net migration, social vulnerability, and crime rates.

D-0463

Infrastructure

Solar energy potential, off-grid power viability, and proximity to nuclear facilities.

D-0532

Self-Sufficiency

Rural-urban classification, agricultural diversity, and land availability.

D-0687

Affordability

Median home value and rental costs relative to the national range. Lower cost counties score higher.

§04

Source Telemetry

14 Inputs
S-01Climate
FEMA NRI hazard score
49.95 /100
Temperature anomaly
2.22 °F
S-02Water
Annual precipitation
45.6 in
Soil saturation depth
2.2 ft
Growing season
189 days
S-03Social
Net migration
+0.9 /1k
Social vulnerability
0.558 /1
Crime index
3.6 /100
S-04Infrastructure
Solar irradiance
4.0 kWh/m²/d
Distance to nuclear facility
211 mi
S-05Self-Sufficiency
Cropland share
8.1 %
Rural-urban code
2 /9
S-06Affordability
Median home value
$122,300
Median rent
$708 /mo

Inputs marked “— —” are pending pipeline integration and currently use neutral defaults in the composite. They do not skew rankings.

§05

Cross-Reference

REF-A

Carter County on the Scout map

See this county in spatial context. Compare with neighbors. Tune the composite weights to your priorities.

REF-B

Top counties in Kentucky

State rollup ranking the highest- and lowest-scoring counties for resilience by composite Scout score.

§06

Citations

Full methodology ▸
  • FEMA-NRIFEMA National Risk Index, county composite hazard score
  • NOAA-TMPNOAA nClimDiv county temperature anomaly, 2020-2024 vs. 1901-2000 baseline
  • NOAA-PCPNOAA county precipitation normals, 1991-2020
  • IRS-MIGIRS county-to-county migration, tax year 2021-2022
  • CDC-SVICDC Social Vulnerability Index, 2022 release (RPL_THEMES)
  • USDA-RUCCUSDA Economic Research Service Rural-Urban Continuum Codes, 2023
  • NASA-PWRNASA POWER climatology, annual global horizontal irradiance (kWh/m²/day)
  • USDA-NASSUSDA NASS Census of Agriculture 2022, county cropland and total land area
  • USDA-SDMUSDA NRCS Soil Data Mart, average seasonal soil saturation depth (cm)
  • ACS-2022U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Estimates 2022, median home value and gross rent