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File No.
GR-DOSSIER-02090
Active File
Confidence: Public
Resilience Dossier

Fairbanks North Star BoroughAlaska · AK

44
/ 100poor
Composite scale0 ─ 100
44
CriticalExcellent
State rank
#28AK
National rank
#2,782/ 3,436
Population
95,5795.0/km²
FIPS 02090│AREA 18,997 km²│LAT 64.6760 · LON -146.5482
§01

Geospatial

64.68°N, 146.55°W
Map of Fairbanks North Star Borough, AK
Target ▸ Fairbanks North Star Borough
N│Mapbox dark-v11
§02

Analyst Brief

Voice ▸ Stratfor

▌Fairbanks North Star Borough is a county in Alaska, with a population of 95,579, covering 18,997 square kilometers. Population density is 5.0 people per square kilometer. On the Scout composite resilience index, Fairbanks North Star Borough scores 44 out of 100, ranked #28 in AK and #2,782 of 3,436 regions. The five-year average temperature anomaly versus the 20th-century baseline is 1.5 degrees Fahrenheit. Counties above 2.6 degrees fall inside the climate tipping-point band. The FEMA National Risk Index composite hazard score is 82 out of 100. Annual precipitation averages 35.0 inches. Net IRS migration in the most recent tax year was -5.7 per 1,000 residents. USDA classifies the county as Rural-Urban Continuum Code 3 (1 = metropolitan core, 9 = completely rural).

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Assessment Matrix

6 Dimensions
D-0134

Climate Stability

Natural hazard exposure, temperature anomaly vs. 20th-century baseline, drought, wildfire, and flood risk.

D-0238

Water & Food

Groundwater reliability, precipitation normals, growing season length, and cropland availability.

D-0353

Social Stability

Net migration, social vulnerability, and crime rates.

D-0450

Infrastructure

Solar energy potential, off-grid power viability, and proximity to nuclear facilities.

D-0550

Self-Sufficiency

Rural-urban classification, agricultural diversity, and land availability.

D-0648

Affordability

Median home value and rental costs relative to the national range. Lower cost counties score higher.

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Source Telemetry

14 Inputs
S-01Climate
FEMA NRI hazard score
82.37 /100
Temperature anomaly
1.50 °F
S-02Water
Annual precipitation
35.0 in
Soil saturation depth
2.0 ft
Growing season
180 days
S-03Social
Net migration
-5.7 /1k
Social vulnerability
0.492 /1
Crime index
16.9 /100
S-04Infrastructure
Solar irradiance
2.6 kWh/m²/d
Distance to nuclear facility
1621.1 mi
S-05Self-Sufficiency
Cropland share
15.0 %
Rural-urban code
3 /9
S-06Affordability
Median home value
$276,800
Median rent
$1,360 /mo

Inputs marked “— —” are pending pipeline integration and currently use neutral defaults in the composite. They do not skew rankings.

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Cross-Reference

REF-A

Fairbanks North Star Borough on the Scout map

See this county in spatial context. Compare with neighbors. Tune the composite weights to your priorities.

REF-B

Top counties in Alaska

State rollup ranking the highest- and lowest-scoring counties for resilience by composite Scout score.

§06

Citations

Full methodology ▸
  • FEMA-NRIFEMA National Risk Index, county composite hazard score
  • NOAA-TMPNOAA nClimDiv county temperature anomaly, 2020-2024 vs. 1901-2000 baseline
  • NOAA-PCPNOAA county precipitation normals, 1991-2020
  • IRS-MIGIRS county-to-county migration, tax year 2021-2022
  • CDC-SVICDC Social Vulnerability Index, 2022 release (RPL_THEMES)
  • USDA-RUCCUSDA Economic Research Service Rural-Urban Continuum Codes, 2023
  • NASA-PWRNASA POWER climatology, annual global horizontal irradiance (kWh/m²/day)
  • USDA-NASSUSDA NASS Census of Agriculture 2022, county cropland and total land area
  • USDA-SDMUSDA NRCS Soil Data Mart, average seasonal soil saturation depth (cm)
  • ACS-2022U.S. Census Bureau ACS 5-Year Estimates 2022, median home value and gross rent